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Four Years On, Settlement or Attrition in Ukraine

Four years into the Ukraine war, fundamentals have changed little: a negotiated settlement remains the most plausible outcome, nuclear risk continues to limit NATO intervention, and military victory is not realistically in the cards for Ukraine, no matter the extent of Western military support.

By Cesar Jaramillo | February 26, 2026

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Carney’s Davos Speech, Expired

While the speech earned global nods and glowing summaries, many wondered how those principles would translate into practice. That question has met its first major test in the form of U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran. And the polished words from the Prime Minister now ring increasingly hollow.

By Cesar Jaramillo | March 3, 2026

A Broken Global Order – Long Before Trump

The present rupture is not simply the product of a single presidency, even if Donald Trump has undeniably accelerated the decline and raised the stakes. It is what happens when years of selective enforcement and eroding credibility begin to collapse on those who thought themselves insulated.

By Cesar Jaramillo | January 22, 2026

Golden Dome and the Myth of Invulnerability

Even if one overlooks Golden Dome’s staggering cost and technical shortcomings, its most basic premise collapses under scrutiny. Nuclear war is not a discrete contingency that can be managed with technology. It is a civilizational collapse.

By Cesar Jaramillo | November 4, 2025

MAKING PEACE GREAT AGAIN

Who needs international law when you have Trump?
[EDITORIAL CARTOON]

By Casper Lopes | October 20, 2025

Bibi Kills (An urgent song for Gaza)

Will global powers keep enabling this highly destructive individual or will they impose the accountability they so often demand of others?

By SANE & Melodistas | August 5, 2025

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Explore our work across a wide range of issues related to international peace and security — from arms control and diplomacy to humanitarian norms and nuclear disarmament.

curated perspectives

CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT

Are All Wars Now Drone Wars?

By Jon Bateman and Steve Feldstein | January 22, 2026

THE NEW YORKER

The Brazen Illegality of Trump’s Venezuela Operation

By Isaac Chotiner | January 3, 2026

The Guardian

What did you do during the genocide in Gaza?

By Arwa Mahdawi | May 22, 2025

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